2020 Democratic Presidential Nominee Weekly Power Rankings - December 30, 2019
This list looks at who I believe currently has the best chance of winning the 2020 Democratic Party nomination for President. Only notable individuals who have announced they are running are included. I am not a political expert, so don’t take this too seriously. Feel free to provide feedback.
Notes for This Week:
- We are 35 days away from the Iowa Caucus.
- It looks like we may be stuck with the five candidates (Biden, Sanders, Warren, Buttigieg, and Klobuchar) that have already qualified for the seventh primary debate on January 14th. The qualifying deadline is 11 days away, and there hasn't really been any polling done during the holiday break. It's going to be an uphill battle for Yang and Booker (who have made the donor threshold) to gain enough qualifying polls to be on the stage. Steyer is two polls away and just under the donor threshold. It should be noted that Bloomberg has met the qualifying polls threshold, but he is not taking any donations.
- President Trump's impending impeachment trial might play a big role in the Democratic primary race. Senators Sanders, Warren, Klobuchar, Booker, and Bennet will likely have to take time away from the campaign trail to act as jurors in the trial.
1. Joe Biden
Previous Ranking: 1 (-)
Credentials: Vice President of the United States (2009–2017); U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009)
2. Bernie Sanders
Previous Ranking: 2 (-)Credentials: U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007–Current); U.S. Representative from Vermont (1991–2007); Mayor of Burlington, Vermont (1981–1989)
3. Elizabeth Warren
Previous Ranking: 3 (-)Credentials: U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–Current); Assistant to the President for the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (2010–2011); Congressional Oversight Panel Chair for the Troubled Asset Relief Program (2008–2010)
4. Pete Buttigieg
Previous Ranking: 4 (-)
Credentials: Mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012 — Current)
5. Andrew Yang
Previous Ranking: 5 (-)
Credentials: Entrepreneur
6. Amy Klobuchar
Previous Ranking: 6 (-)
Credentials: U.S. Senator from Minnesota (2007-Present)
7. Michael Bloomberg
Previous Ranking: 7 (-)
Credentials: Mayor of New York City (2002-2013)
8. Cory Booker
Previous Ranking: 8 (-)
Credentials: U.S. Senator from New Jersey (2013-Present); Mayor of Newark, NJ (2006-2013); Newark City Council (1998-2002)
Honorable Mentions, Tier 1
- Julian Castro, Former U.S. Secretary of HUD and Former Mayor of San Antonio
- Tulsi Gabbard, U.S. Representative from Hawaii
- Tom Steyer, Billionaire
Honorable Mentions, Tier 2
- Michael Bennet, U.S. Senator from Colorado
- John Delaney, Former U.S. Representative from Maryland
- Deval Patrick, Former Governor of Massachusetts
- Marianne Williamson, Motivational Speaker & Self Help Author
General Reference Links
- Primary Polls - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primaries/democratic/
- Party Endorsements - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-endorsements/democratic-primary/
- Candidate Media Coverage - https://fivethirtyeight.com/tag/media/
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