2020 Democratic Presidential Nominee Weekly Power Rankings - November 6, 2019
This list looks at who I believe currently has the best chance of winning the 2020 Democratic Party nomination for President. Only notable individuals who have announced they are running or have formed an exploratory committee are included. I am not a political expert, so don’t take this too seriously. Feel free to provide feedback.
Notes for This Week:
- We now have less than three months until the first primaries and less than a year until the general election.
- Speaking of elections, did you know there were some last night? Democrats scored major victories in states like Kentucky and Virginia.
- Beto O'Rourke dropped out of the race on Friday, marking the biggest dropout of the primary season. O'Rourke started his campaign as a frontrunner, including raising $6 million in the first 24 hours after his announcement to run. Unfortunately, he couldn't keep up the excitement, sliding down in polls and fundraising. He recently has been polling as low as 0% in some national and early state polls. However, there are still plenty of O'Rourke supporters (he has polled at 4% nationally as recently as late October), so we'll have to see how those pieces of the pie are split up amongst the other candidates.
1. Joe Biden
Previous Ranking: 1 (-)
Credentials: Vice President of the United States (2009–2017); U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009)
2. Elizabeth Warren
Previous Ranking: 2 (-)Credentials: U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–Current); Assistant to the President for the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (2010–2011); Congressional Oversight Panel Chair for the Troubled Asset Relief Program (2008–2010)
Notes: Warren released her plan to pay for "Medicare for All" that includes a wealth tax to help pay for it.
3. Bernie Sanders
Previous Ranking: 3 (-)Credentials: U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007–Current); U.S. Representative from Vermont (1991–2007); Mayor of Burlington, Vermont (1981–1989)
4. Pete Buttigieg
Previous Ranking: 4 (-)
Credentials: Mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012 — Current)
5. Kamala Harris
Previous Ranking: 5 (-)
Credentials: U.S. Senator from California (2017–Current); Attorney General of California (2011–2017); District Attorney of San Francisco (2004–2011)
Notes: In what might look like a move of desperation, the Harris campaign closed shop in New Hampshire is focusing on Iowa. Given her slide past Buttigieg to 5th place in national polling, it might be warranted.
6. Andrew Yang
Previous Ranking: 6 (-)
Credentials: Entrepreneur
Notes: Yang seems to have plateaued after his surging, now consistently polling 2 - 3% nationally. He also had his first interview with his wife.
7. Cory Booker
Previous Ranking: 7 (-)
Credentials: U.S. Senator from New Jersey (2013-Present); Mayor of Newark, NJ (2006-2013); Newark City Council (1998-2002)
8. Amy Klobuchar
Previous Ranking: Honorable Mention
Credentials: U.S. Senator from Minnesota (2007-Present)
Notes: Klobuchar gets back in the rankings thanks to some recent polling showing her at up to 5% nationally.
Honorable Mentions, Tier 1
- Julian Castro, Former U.S. Secretary of HUD and Former Mayor of San Antonio
- Tulsi Gabbard, U.S. Representative from Hawaii
- Tom Steyer, Billionaire
Honorable Mentions, Tier 2
- Michael Bennet, U.S. Senator from Colorado
- Steve Bullock, Governor of Montana
- John Delaney, Former U.S. Representative from Maryland
- Joe Sestak, Former U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania
- Marianne Williamson, Motivational Speaker & Self Help Author
General Reference Links
- Primary Polls - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primaries/democratic/
- Party Endorsements - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-endorsements/democratic-primary/
- Candidate Media Coverage - https://fivethirtyeight.com/tag/media/
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