2020 Democratic Presidential Nominee Weekly Power Rankings - September 4, 2019
This list looks at who I believe currently has the best chance of winning the 2020 Democratic Party nomination for President. Only notable individuals who have announced they are running or have formed an exploratory committee are included. I am not a political expert, so don’t take this too seriously. Feel free to provide feedback.
Notes for This Week:
We are less than 5 months away from the first state primary elections! Kirsten Gillibrand is the latest candidate to drop out. Now that we know who qualified for the 3rd debate, as well as who is close to qualifying for the 4th debate, I feel more confident in breaking up my Honorable Mentions back into tiers. I really feel that everyone in Tier 2 should drop out of the race, but ego is a stubborn thing.
1. Joe Biden
Previous Ranking: 1 (-)
Credentials: Vice President of the United States (2009–2017); U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973–2009)
Notes: Biden is still polling strong nationally. but he's a bit weaker in early states like Iowa and New Hampshire. His campaign tried to downplay this by recently saying that they don't need to win Iowa.
2. Elizabeth Warren
Previous Ranking: 2 (-)Credentials: U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013–Current); Assistant to the President for the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (2010–2011); Congressional Oversight Panel Chair for the Troubled Asset Relief Program (2008–2010)
3. Bernie Sanders
Previous Ranking: 3 (-)Credentials: U.S. Senator from Vermont (2007–Current); U.S. Representative from Vermont (1991–2007); Mayor of Burlington, Vermont (1981–1989)
4. Kamala Harris
Previous Ranking: 4 (-)
Credentials: U.S. Senator from California (2017–Current); Attorney General of California (2011–2017); District Attorney of San Francisco (2004–2011)
Notes: Harris announced her $10 trillion climate plan today ahead of tonight's CNN Town Hall on climate change.
5. Pete Buttigieg
Previous Ranking: 5 (-)
Credentials: Mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012 — Current)
6. Cory Booker
Previous Ranking: 6 (-)
Credentials: U.S. Senator from New Jersey (2013-Present); Mayor of Newark, NJ (2006-2013); Newark City Council (1998-2002)
Notes: Booker has his own $3 Trillion climate plan.
7. Beto O'Rourke
Previous Ranking: 7 (-)
Credentials: U.S. Representative from Texas (2013–2019); El Paso City Council (2005-2011)
Notes: O'Rourke is leaning into the coverage of his language when talking about recent mass shootings by saying "this is f**ked up".
8. Andrew Yang
Previous Ranking: 8 (-)
Credentials: Entrepreneur
9. Julian Castro
Previous Ranking: 9 (-)
Credentials: U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development (2014-2017); Mayor of San Antonio (2009-2014)
Notes: Of course, Castro also announced a climate plan this week.
10. Amy Klobuchar
Previous Ranking: 10 (-)
Credentials: U.S. Senator from Minnesota (2007-Present)
Honorable Mentions, Tier 1
- Tulsi Gabbard, U.S. Representative from Hawaii
- Tom Steyer, Billionaire
- Marianne Williamson, Motivational Speaker & Self Help Author
Honorable Mentions, Tier 2
- Michael Bennet, U.S. Senator from Colorado
- Steve Bullock, Governor of Montana
- Bill De Blasio, Mayor of New York
- John Delaney, Former U.S. Representative from Maryland
- Tim Ryan, U.S. Representative from Ohio
- Joe Sestak, Former U.S. Representative from Pennsylvania
General Reference Links
- Primary Polls - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primaries/democratic/
- Party Endorsements - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-endorsements/democratic-primary/
- Candidate Media Coverage - https://fivethirtyeight.com/tag/media/
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